Mexico has once again established itself as a leader in CONCACAF, having won the Nations League and the Gold Cup. However, they still have much work to do to prove their readiness for the 2026 World Cup. At the 2022 World Cup, Mexico failed to advance from the group stage for the first time since 1990 (when they were banned from participating). One must go back to 1978 to find a World Cup where “El Tri” participated but did not make it out of the group stage. Yet, despite their success in progressing from the group, Mexico has not advanced beyond the Round of 16 since 1986 – another dubious streak they hope to break at a home World Cup.
Match Details: Mexico vs. Japan
- Date: Saturday, Sep. 6
- Time: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum — Oakland, California
- Odds: Mexico +145; Draw +240; Japan +180
Under Javier Aguirre, their third head coach since 2022, “El Tri”`s situation is stabilizing. However, much like the USMNT, Mexico seeks significant victories to demonstrate that their progress extends beyond the region. This is a persistent issue for North America: regional dominance does not guarantee global success, as teams are rarely tested against the world`s strongest national sides. In the lead-up to the World Cup, Mexico is attempting to change this by including matches against Japan, South Korea, Colombia, and Ecuador on their schedule before the end of the October window.
Japan`s national team, “The Samurai Blue,” ranks 17th globally and is on a four-match unbeaten streak after a loss to Australia in June. That defeat is Japan`s sole loss this calendar year, as Hajime Moriyasu commands a highly talented squad. Their attack is capable of causing significant trouble for Mexico, but even securing a draw would signify growth for Aguirre`s side.
There is always pressure on Mexico to succeed, and it has only intensified following their recent performances. While a loss to Japan can happen to any team, it is less acceptable for a team like “El Tri.” Mexico`s defense, which conceded only three goals in the Gold Cup, has been stellar, but if no one steps up to support Raul Jimenez in leading the attack, disappointment may be inevitable.
